Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000656 0.000744 0.000838 0.000944 0.001060 0.001184 0.001326
2025-12-07 0.000517 0.000639 0.000777 0.000944 0.001138 0.001356 0.001619
2025-12-14 0.000434 0.000571 0.000731 0.000934 0.001179 0.001464 0.001818
2025-12-21 0.000370 0.000513 0.000689 0.000919 0.001206 0.001551 0.001991
2025-12-28 0.000337 0.000489 0.000684 0.000944 0.001279 0.001691 0.002227
2026-01-04 0.000306 0.000464 0.000672 0.000959 0.001337 0.001811 0.002441
2026-01-11 0.000272 0.000431 0.000646 0.000951 0.001363 0.001889 0.002603
2026-01-18 0.000241 0.000399 0.000619 0.000939 0.001380 0.001956 0.002749
2026-01-25 0.000221 0.000380 0.000608 0.000948 0.001425 0.002058 0.002943
2026-02-01 0.000202 0.000361 0.000595 0.000950 0.001460 0.002147 0.003120
2026-02-08 0.000177 0.000329 0.000560 0.000920 0.001447 0.002169 0.003207
2026-02-15 0.000156 0.000302 0.000531 0.000896 0.001440 0.002198 0.003303
2026-02-22 0.000141 0.000285 0.000516 0.000892 0.001463 0.002269 0.003459
2026-03-01 0.000129 0.000270 0.000504 0.000891 0.001490 0.002347 0.003627
2026-03-08 0.000116 0.000254 0.000486 0.000882 0.001503 0.002403 0.003763
2026-03-15 0.000104 0.000237 0.000467 0.000868 0.001507 0.002447 0.003884
2026-03-22 0.000100 0.000234 0.000472 0.000892 0.001571 0.002579 0.004133
2026-03-29 0.000094 0.000228 0.000471 0.000906 0.001619 0.002689 0.004352
2026-04-05 0.000085 0.000215 0.000457 0.000898 0.001632 0.002747 0.004495
2026-04-12 0.000077 0.000202 0.000441 0.000887 0.001638 0.002793 0.004622
2026-04-19 0.000072 0.000196 0.000438 0.000895 0.001677 0.002889 0.004825
2026-04-26 0.000067 0.000188 0.000431 0.000898 0.001706 0.002971 0.005007
2026-05-03 0.000059 0.000173 0.000408 0.000869 0.001681 0.002968 0.005061